State legislative elections, 2018
2018 Elections | |
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Choose a chamber below: | |
On November 6, 2018, 87 of the nation's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly scheduled elections for 6,073 seats, meaning that nearly 82 percent of all state legislative seats were up for election. Heading into the election, Republicans controlled 4,134 of 7,383 legislative seats and 67 legislative chambers, and Democrats controlled 3,123 seats and 32 legislative chambers.
Six chambers changed partisan control in the 2018 elections. Democrats captured the Colorado State Senate, Maine State Senate, Minnesota House of Representatives, New Hampshire House of Representatives, New Hampshire State Senate, and New York State Senate.
Republicans did not capture any Democratic battleground chambers, but they did enter into a power-sharing agreement in the Alaska House of Representatives, which was previously controlled by Democrats.
Democrats had a net gain of 309 seats in the 86 state legislative chambers that held regularly-scheduled partisan elections.[1] Republicans lost 295 seats in the elections, and minor-party and independent candidates lost 14 seats. Read more below.
In 2018, 322 incumbents, including 49 Democrats and 253 Republicans, were defeated in the general elections. Read more below.
Four full state legislatures saw changes in their supermajority status as a result of the 2018 elections. Democrats attained supermajorities in three full state legislatures—California, Illinois, and Oregon.[2] This added to their existing four supermajorities, giving them seven total. Republicans, meanwhile, entered the 2018 elections with 17 full state legislative supermajorities and lost one—North Carolina. Read more below.
Roughly one-eighth of the nation's legislators who were responsible for redistricting following the 2020 census were elected in 2018, including nearly one-third of all state senators as well as the entire state legislatures of Alabama and Maryland.[3]
Keep reading to learn more about:
- Chambers that changed party control in the 2018 elections
- Partisan balance of state legislatures
- Change in seats
- State government trifectas
- Supermajorities
- Incumbents defeated in 2018
- Margins of victory
- Electoral competitiveness
- Elections in each state
- Important dates
- Impact of term limits
- Special elections
- State legislative leaders
In a majority of the chambers up in 2018, primary elections were held to determine the candidates on the November ballot.
Click here for information on Democratic primaries.
Click here for information on Republican primaries.
There were also special state legislative elections held in 2018. Click here for more.
Flipped chambers in the 2018 elections
This table lists state legislative chambers where party control changed as a result of the November 6, 2018 elections.
Flipped state legislative chambers, 2018 elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
State | Chamber | Pre-election control | Post-election control | |
Alaska | House | Democrats | Power sharing | |
Colorado | Senate | Republicans | Democrats | |
Maine | Senate | Republicans | Democrats | |
Minnesota | House | Republicans | Democrats | |
New Hampshire | House | Republicans | Democrats | |
New Hampshire | Senate | Republicans | Democrats | |
New York | Senate | Republicans | Democrats |
Supermajorities in the 2018 elections
Four full state legislatures saw changes in their supermajority status—typically when one party controls either three-fifths or two-thirds of a chamber—as a result of the 2018 elections. Democrats attained supermajorities in three full state legislatures (both chambers)—California, Illinois, and Oregon.[2] This added to their existing four supermajorities, giving them seven total. Republicans, meanwhile, entered the night with 17 full state legislative supermajorities and lost one—North Carolina.
Eleven individual chambers changed supermajority status, including those that contributed to changes in California, Illinois, Oregon, and North Carolina. All of the changes favored Democrats.
Because of these changes, one party has a supermajority in 23 of 50 state legislatures, two more than the 21 supermajorities heading into the night.
Depending on the state, supermajorities can do anything from overriding gubernatorial vetoes to convicting impeached executive or judicial officials to passing constitutional amendments to raising taxes. Most of these special actions are only available if a party has a supermajority in both chambers.
Change in state legislative supermajorities, 2018 elections | ||||
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Supermajorities | Before | After | Net | |
Democratic supermajorities | 4 | 7 | +3 | |
Republican supermajorities | 17 | 16 | -1 | |
Total | 21 | 23 | +2 |
Change in Democratic supermajority chambers, 2018 elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Chamber | Before | After | ||
California State Senate | No Supermajority | Supermajority | ||
Connecticut State Senate | No Supermajority | Supermajority | ||
Illinois House of Representatives | No Supermajority | Supermajority | ||
Nevada State Assembly | No Supermajority | Supermajority | ||
Oregon House of Representatives | No Supermajority | Supermajority[2] | ||
Oregon State Senate | No Supermajority | Supermajority[2] |
Change in Republican supermajority chambers, 2018 elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Chamber | Before | After | ||
Michigan State Senate | Supermajority | No Supermajority | ||
North Carolina House of Representatives | Supermajority | No Supermajority | ||
North Carolina State Senate | Supermajority | No Supermajority | ||
Pennsylvania State Senate | Supermajority | No Supermajority | ||
Texas State Senate | Supermajority | No Supermajority |
2018 election analysis and context
Partisan balance
Heading into the 2018 elections, Republicans held a majority of state legislative chambers. As of November 2017, 67 chambers were under GOP control, while Democrats held majorities in 32 chambers.[4]
The following table details partisan balance in all 99 chambers.
Partisan Control of All 99 State Legislatures | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-election | Post-election | ||||
Legislative Chamber | Split | ||||
State senates | 14 | 36 | 18 (+4) | 32 (-4) | 0 |
State houses | 18 | 31 | 19 (+1) | 29 (-2) | 1 |
Total: | 32 | 67 | 37 (+5) | 61 (-6) | 1 |
The following table details partisan balance of all 7,383 state legislative seats.
Partisan Balance of All 7,383 State Legislative Seats | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pre-election | Post-election | |||||||
Legislative Chamber | [5] | [5] | ||||||
State senates | 809 | 1,135 | 28 | 869 | 1,076 | 27 | ||
State houses | 2,314 | 2,986 | 111 | 2,574 | 2,781 | 56 | ||
Total: | 3,123 | 4,121 | 139 | 3,443 | 3,857 | 83 |
State government trifectas
Democrats emerged from the 2018 elections with a net gain in state government trifectas—where one political party holds the governorship, a majority in the state senate, and a majority in the state house in a state's government. Republicans retain a net advantage of eight trifectas over Democrats. The new trifecta count stands at 14 Democratic, 22 Republican, and 14 divided.
Entering the 2018 midterm election, Republicans had a +14 state trifecta lead: of 34 states with trifectas, 26 were Republican and eight were Democratic. But after the votes were counted, Democrats increased their trifecta total with a net gain of six, and Republicans declined to 22 trifectas (a net loss of four). States with divided government (i.e., no trifecta for either major party) declined to 14.
This outcome is similar to the trifecta balance following the 2014 midterm election, which left Republicans with 24 trifectas, Democrats with 13, and 13 states with no trifecta advantage for either major party. After the 2010 midterms, 25 states had no trifectas, Republicans had nine, and Democrats had 16.
In two cases where Democrats gained trifectas, and in one case where Republicans lost a trifecta, Democrats won open gubernatorial races that had been vacated by Republican incumbents who could not seek re-election due to term limits.
The total number of trifectas—36—is almost in line with the 37 trifectas in 2013 and 2014, the most trifectas in recent history.
Change in state government trifectas, 2018 elections | ||||
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Trifecta status | Before | After | Net | |
Democratic trifectas | 8 | 14 | +6 | |
Republican trifectas | 26 | 22 | -4 | |
Divided government | 16 | 14 | -2 |
The six Democratic flips from divided government to trifecta control in 2018 were in:
- Colorado: Democrats won control of the Colorado Senate.
- Illinois: Democrats won the governor’s office with businessman J.B. Pritzker (D) defeating incumbent Bruce Rauner (R).
- Maine: Democrats won control of the Maine Senate and took the governor’s office with Maine Attorney General Janet Mills (D) defeating businessman Shawn Moody (R) and state Treasurer Teresea Hayes (I). Incumbent Gov. Paul LePage (R) was term-limited, leaving the seat open.
- New Mexico: Democrats won the governor’s office with U.S. Rep. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) defeating U.S. Rep. Steve Pearce (R). Incumbent Gov. Susana Martinez (R) was prevented by term limits from seeking a third term, leaving the seat open.
- New York: Democrats won control of the New York Senate.
- Nevada: Democrats won the governor’s office with Steve Sisolak (D) defeating Adam Laxalt (R).
In each of the four states where Republicans lost trifectas the balance of power became divided:
- Kansas: Democrats won the governor’s office with State Sen. Laura Kelly (D) defeating Secretary of State Kris Kobach (R). Incumbent Gov. Jeff Colyer (R), who took office following former Gov. Sam Brownback's resignation in January 2018, ran for a full term but was defeated by Kobach in the August 7 primary, leaving the seat open.
- Michigan: Democrats won the governor’s office with former state Senate Minority Leader Gretchen Whitmer (D) defeating Michigan Attorney General Bill Schuette (R). Incumbent Gov. Rick Snyder (R) was term-limited, leaving the seat open.
- Wisconsin: Democrats won the governor’s office with Tony Evers (D) defeating incumbent Scott Walker (R).
- New Hampshire: Democrats won control of the House and Senate.
Overall, 10 total states saw a trifecta status change in some way.
- Colorado: divided government to Democratic trifecta
- Illinois: divided government to Democratic trifecta
- Kansas: Republican trifecta to divided government
- Maine: divided government to Democratic trifecta
- Michigan: Republican trifecta to divided government
- Nevada: divided government to Democratic trifecta
- New Hampshire: Republican trifecta to divided government
- New Mexico: divided government to Democratic trifecta
- New York: divided government to Democratic trifecta
- Wisconsin: Republican trifecta to divided government
The maps and charts below show the pre- and post-2018 election state government trifectas and the percentage of the population living under trifecta control.
Percent of the U.S. population living under trifectas as of Election Day 2018 | ||||
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Total | Democratic trifectas | Republican trifectas | Divided governments | |
Population | 325,025,206[6] | 67,128,116 | 156,080,642 | 101,816,448 |
Proportion (%) | 100% | 20.7% | 48.0% | 31.3% |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau |
Percent of the U.S. population living under trifectas following the 2018 elections | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Democratic trifectas | Republican trifectas | Divided governments | ||
Population | 325,025,206[7] | 111,808,708 | 136,066,930 | 77,149,568 | |
Proportion (%) | 100% | 34.4% | 41.9% | 23.7% | |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau |
Change in seats
Democrats had a net gain of 308 seats in the 87 state legislative chambers that held regularly-scheduled elections on November 6, 2018. Republicans lost 294 seats in the elections, and third-party and independent candidates lost 14 seats.
Democrats gained 65 state senate seats. Republicans lost 60 Senate seats, and third-party and independent candidates lost five.
Democrats gained 243 state house seats. Republicans lost 234 state house seats, and third-party and independent candidates lost nine.
The charts below show the total changes in state legislative seats, state senate seats, and state house seats, respectively.
Change in state legislative partisan composition, 2018 elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Before | After | Net | |
Democrats | 2,815 | 3,123 | +308 | |
Republicans | 3,757 | 3,463 | -294 | |
Other/3rd parties | 38 | 24 | -14 | |
Total | 6,561 | 6,561 | -- |
Change in state senate partisan composition, 2018 elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Before | After | Net | |
Democrats | 651 | 716 | +65 | |
Republicans | 947 | 887 | -60 | |
Other/3rd parties | 8 | 3 | -5 | |
Total | 1,606 | 1,606 | -- |
Change in state house partisan composition, 2018 elections | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Before | After | Net | |
Democrats | 2,164 | 2,407 | +243 | |
Republicans | 2,810 | 2,576 | -234 | |
Other/3rd parties | 30 | 21 | -9 | |
Total | 5,004 | 5,004 | -- |
Flipped seats
The map below contains a state-by-state breakdown of state legislative seats that changed party control in the November 2018 elections. Hover over a state to view how many seats each party flipped.
Battleground chambers
Ballotpedia tracked 22 state legislative battleground chambers in 2018.
Heading into the 2018 elections, Democrats controlled 10 battleground chambers and Republicans controlled 12 battleground chambers.[8]
Democrats captured six Republican-held battleground chambers in the election—the Colorado State Senate, Maine State Senate, Minnesota House of Representatives, New Hampshire House of Representatives, New Hampshire State Senate, and New York State Senate.
Republicans did not capture any Democratic battleground chambers, but they did enter into a power-sharing agreement in the Alaska House of Representatives, which was previously controlled by Democrats.
Battlegrounds were chambers that we anticipated would be, overall, more competitive than other chambers and have the potential to see significant shifts in party control in the 2018 general elections.
Criteria for identification as a battleground chamber included the majority party's share of seats, the number of competitive races, and more. Read the complete list of criteria here.
These were the 22 battleground chambers in 2018.
Alaska House of Representatives (Power-sharing between parties)
Arizona State Senate
Colorado House of Representatives
Colorado State Senate (Democratic gain)
Connecticut House of Representatives
Connecticut State Senate
Delaware State Senate
Florida State Senate
Iowa House of Representatives
Maine House of Representatives
Maine State Senate (Democratic gain)
Michigan House of Representatives
Michigan State Senate
Minnesota House of Representatives (Democratic gain)
Nevada State Senate
New Hampshire House of Representatives (Democratic gain)
New Hampshire State Senate (Democratic gain)
New Mexico House of Representatives elections
New York State Senate (Democratic gain)
Washington House of Representatives
Washington State Senate
Wisconsin State Senate
The columns in the chart below list the following information:
- Seats up in 2018: This was the number of seats in the chamber that were up for election in 2018.
- Margin: This was the difference in seats between the majority and minority parties.
- Majority share of seats: This was the percentage of the chamber's total seats controlled by the majority party.
- Last time party control changed?: This was the election where the party in power before the 2018 elections took control of the chamber.
2018 battleground chambers | |||||||||
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Chamber | Seats up in 2018 | Margin | Majority share of seats | Last time party control changed? | Did it flip? | ||||
Alaska House of Representatives* | All 40 | D+4 | 55 percent | 2016 | Power-sharing agreement | ||||
Arizona State Senate | 17 of 30 | R+4 | 56.7 percent | 2002 | No | ||||
Colorado House of Representatives | All 65 | D+7 | 55.4 percent | 2012 | No | ||||
Colorado State Senate | 17 of 35 | R+2 | 51.4 percent | 2014 | Yes | ||||
Connecticut House of Representatives | All 151 | D+9 | 53.0 percent | 1986 | No | ||||
Connecticut State Senate** | All 36 | D+0 | 50 percent | 1996 | No | ||||
Delaware State Senate | 10 of 21 | D+1 | 52.4 percent | 1974 | No | ||||
Florida State Senate | 22 of 40 | R+6 | 55.0 percent | 1994 | No | ||||
Iowa House of Representatives | All 100 | R+17 | 58.0 percent | 2010 | No | ||||
Maine House of Representatives | All 151 | D+3 | 48.3 percent | 2012 | No | ||||
Maine State Senate | All 35 | R+1 | 51.4 percent | 2014 | Yes | ||||
Minnesota House of Representatives | All 134 | R+21 | 57.5 percent | 2014 | Yes | ||||
Michigan House of Representatives | All 110 | R+17 | 57.3 percent | 2010 | No | ||||
Michigan State Senate | All 38 | R+17 | 71.1 percent | 1982[9] | No | ||||
Nevada State Senate | 11 of 21 | D+2 | 47.6 percent | 2016 | No | ||||
New Hampshire House of Representatives | All 400 | R+45 | 53.0 percent | 2014 | Yes | ||||
New Hampshire State Senate | All 24 | R+4 | 58.3 percent | 2010 | Yes | ||||
New Mexico House of Representatives | All 70 | D+7 | 54.3 percent | 2016 | No | ||||
New York State Senate* | All 63 | R+1 | 50.8 percent | 2010 | Yes | ||||
Washington House of Representatives | All 98 | D+2 | 51.0 percent | 1998 | No | ||||
Washington State Senate | 24 of 49 | D+1 | 51.0 percent | 2012 | No | ||||
Wisconsin State Senate | 18 of 33 | R+3 | 54.5 percent | 2010 | No |
*This chamber were controlled by a minority party coalition because some members of the party with the numerical majority caucus with the minority party.
** This chamber was evenly divided 18-18 following the 2016 elections. Democrats maintained an effective majority because Lieutenant Gov. Nancy Wyman (D) could cast tie-breaking votes.
Outside ratings
Ballotpedia collected ratings and forecasts of the 2018 state legislative elections from the following organizations:
- National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL)—Authors identified 16 battleground chambers based on a qualitative analysis.
- Governing—Author rated chambers as "Safe Democratic/Republican," "Likely Democratic/Republican," "Lean Democratic/Republican," or "Toss-up" based on "interviews with dozens of state and national political sources."
- Daily Kos—Author rated chambers as "Safe Democratic/Republican," "Likely Democratic/Republican," "Lean Democratic/Republican," or "Toss-up" based on a qualitative analysis.
- Klarner Politics—Author predicted the probability of each party winning a chamber based on a quantitative analysis of past election results and national electoral conditions. Ballotpedia converted the probability scores using this scale: 100%-80%=Safe Democratic/Republican, 79.9%-70%=Likely Democratic/Republican, 69.9-60%=Lean Democratic/Republican, <60%=Toss-up.
Outside ratings and forecasts for state legislative chambers, 2018 | ||||||||
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Chamber | Pre-election Control | Post-election Control | NCSL | Governing | Daily Kos | Klarner Politics | ||
Alabama House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Alabama Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Alaska House | D | Power-sharing | Battleground | Toss-up | Lean Democratic | Lean Republican | ||
Alaska Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Arizona House | R | R | Battleground | Likely Republican | Lean Republican | Toss-up | ||
Arizona Senate | R | R | Battleground | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | ||
Arkansas House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Arkansas Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
California Assembly | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
California Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Colorado House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Likely Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Colorado Senate | R | D | Battleground | Toss-up | Lean Democratic | Likely Democratic | ||
Connecticut House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Lean Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Connecticut Senate | D | D | Battleground | Toss-up | Toss-up | Likely Democratic | ||
Delaware House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Delaware Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Likely Democratic | ||
Florida House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Lean Republican | ||
Florida Senate | R | R | Battleground | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Likely Republican | ||
Georgia House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Georgia Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Hawaii House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Hawaii Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Idaho House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Idaho Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Illinois House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Illinois Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Indiana House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Indiana Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Iowa House | R | R | Safe Republican | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | ||
Iowa Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Kansas House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Kentucky House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | ||
Kentucky Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Maine House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Lean Democratic | Likely Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Maine Senate | R | D | Battleground | Toss-up | Likely Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Maryland House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Maryland Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Massachusetts House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Massachusetts Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Michigan House | R | R | Battleground | Lean Republican | Lean Republican | Lean Democratic | ||
Michigan Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Toss-up | ||
Minnesota House | R | D | Battleground | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | ||
Missouri House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Missouri Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Montana House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Montana Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Nevada Assembly | D | D | Safe Democratic | Likely Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Nevada Senate | D | D | Battleground | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
New Hampshire House | R | D | Battleground | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
New Hampshire Senate | R | D | Battleground | Lean Democratic | Lean Republican | Lean Democratic | ||
New Mexico House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
New York Assembly | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
New York Senate | R | D | Battleground | Lean Democratic | Likely Democratic | Lean Democratic | ||
North Carolina House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | ||
North Carolina Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Toss-up | ||
North Dakota House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
North Dakota Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Ohio House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Ohio Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Oklahoma House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Oklahoma Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Oregon House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Oregon Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Pennsylvania House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | ||
Pennsylvania Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Rhode Island House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Rhode Island Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
South Carolina House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
South Dakota House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
South Dakota Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Tennessee House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Tennessee Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Texas House | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Texas Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Utah House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Utah Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Vermont House | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Vermont Senate | D | D | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Washington House | D | D | Battleground | Likely Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
Washington Senate | D | D | Battleground | Likely Democratic | Safe Democratic | Safe Democratic | ||
West Virginia House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Lean Democratic | ||
West Virginia Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | Likely Republican | ||
Wisconsin Assembly | R | R | Safe Republican | Likely Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Wisconsin Senate | R | R | Battleground | Toss-up | Lean Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Wyoming House | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | ||
Wyoming Senate | R | R | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican | Safe Republican |
Incumbents defeated in 2018
This chart compares state legislative incumbents losses in primary and general elections from 2010 to 2018.
State legislative incumbents losses, 2010-2018 | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | Party | Primary defeats | General election defeats | All incumbent defeats | |||
2018 | |||||||
Democrats | 70 | 49 | 119 | ||||
Republicans | 77 | 253 | 330 | ||||
Other | N/A | 20 | 20 | ||||
Total | 147 | 322 | 469 | ||||
2016 | |||||||
Democrats | 39 | 126 | 165 | ||||
Republicans | 84 | 103 | 187 | ||||
Other | N/A | 4 | 4 | ||||
Total | 123 | 233 | 356 | ||||
2014 | |||||||
Democrats | 46 | 226 | 272 | ||||
Republicans | 85 | 40 | 125 | ||||
Total | 131 | 266 | 397 | ||||
2012 | |||||||
Democrats | 71 | 66 | 137 | ||||
Republicans | 123 | 224 | 347 | ||||
Other | N/A | 4 | 4 | ||||
Total | 194 | 294 | 488 | ||||
2010 | |||||||
Democrats | 56 | 482 | 538 | ||||
Republicans | 56 | 14 | 70 | ||||
Other | N/A | 6 | 6 | ||||
Total | 112 | 502 | 614 |
Margins of victory
On November 6, 2018, 87 of the nation's 99 state legislative chambers held regularly-scheduled elections for 6,073 seats, meaning that nearly 82% of all state legislative seats were up for election.
Democrats gained control of 309 seats and six chambers, while losing majority control of one chamber. Republicans lost control of 295 seats and six chambers while entering into a power-sharing agreement in one chamber where they had previously been in the minority. Minor-party and independent candidates lost 14 seats.[10]
Across all 6,073 seats up for election, the average margin of victory was 25.8%. An electoral margin of victory (MOV) is the difference between the share of votes cast for the winning candidate and the second-place candidate in an election.
Eighty-eight state legislative races were decided by margins of 0.5% or less in 2018. This figure includes two races—Alaska House of Representatives District 1 and Kentucky House of Representatives District 13—which were decided by a single vote. They were among 16 races decided by 10 votes or fewer.
Average MOV for state legislative elections, 2018 | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chamber | Seats up for election | Seats won by Democrats | Seats won by Democrats by margins of 10% or less | Seats won by unopposed Democrats | Average margin of victory for Democrats | Seats won by Republicans | Seats won by Republicans by margins of 10% or less | Seats won by unopposed Republicans | Average margin of victory for Republicans | Seats won by independent and minor party candidates |
Alabama State Senate | ||||||||||
Alabama House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Alaska State Senate | ||||||||||
Alaska House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Arizona State Senate | ||||||||||
Arizona House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Arkansas State Senate | ||||||||||
Arkansas House of Representatives | ||||||||||
California State Senate | ||||||||||
California State Assembly | ||||||||||
Colorado State Senate | ||||||||||
Colorado House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Connecticut State Senate | ||||||||||
Connecticut House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Delaware State Senate | ||||||||||
Delaware House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Florida State Senate | ||||||||||
Florida House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Georgia State Senate | ||||||||||
Georgia House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Hawaii State Senate | ||||||||||
Hawaii House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Idaho State Senate | ||||||||||
Idaho House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Illinois State Senate | ||||||||||
Illinois House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Indiana State Senate | ||||||||||
Indiana House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Iowa State Senate | ||||||||||
Iowa House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Kansas House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Kentucky State Senate | ||||||||||
Kentucky House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Maine State Senate | ||||||||||
Maine House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Maryland State Senate | ||||||||||
Maryland House of Delegates | ||||||||||
Massachusetts State Senate | ||||||||||
Massachusetts House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Michigan State Senate | ||||||||||
Michigan House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Minnesota House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Missouri State Senate | ||||||||||
Missouri House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Montana State Senate | ||||||||||
Montana House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Nebraska State Senate | ||||||||||
Nevada State Senate | ||||||||||
Nevada State Assembly | ||||||||||
New Hampshire State Senate | ||||||||||
New Hampshire House of Representatives | ||||||||||
New Mexico House of Representatives | ||||||||||
New York State Senate | ||||||||||
New York State Assembly | ||||||||||
North Carolina State Senate | ||||||||||
North Carolina House of Representatives | ||||||||||
North Dakota State Senate | ||||||||||
North Dakota House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Ohio State Senate | ||||||||||
Ohio House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Oklahoma State Senate | ||||||||||
Oklahoma House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Oregon State Senate | ||||||||||
Oregon House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Pennsylvania State Senate | ||||||||||
Pennsylvania House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Rhode Island State Senate | ||||||||||
Rhode Island House of Representatives | ||||||||||
South Carolina House of Representatives | ||||||||||
South Dakota State Senate | ||||||||||
South Dakota House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Tennessee State Senate | ||||||||||
Tennessee House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Texas State Senate | ||||||||||
Texas House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Utah State Senate | ||||||||||
Utah House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Vermont State Senate | ||||||||||
Vermont House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Washington State Senate | ||||||||||
Washington House of Representatives | ||||||||||
West Virginia State Senate | ||||||||||
West Virginia House of Delegates | ||||||||||
Wisconsin State Senate | ||||||||||
Wisconsin State Assembly | ||||||||||
Wyoming State Senate | ||||||||||
Wyoming House of Representatives | ||||||||||
Total |
Electoral competitiveness
Ballotpedia's 8th Annual State Legislative Competitiveness Report analyzes the features of all 6,073 state legislative elections that took place in November 2018. Key findings include:
Seats without major party opposition
Primary competitiveness
A contested primary is one in which voters have a choice on the ballot. Most commonly, this means that there is more than one candidate from the same political party in the race. Exceptions to this include states with multi-member state legislative districts and states featuring a top-two primary system, such as California and Washington.
The following chart compares the number of open seats, incumbents with primary competition, contested partisan primaries, total seats, and total candidates in 2018 versus 2016 and 2014:
Incumbents defeated
Primary elections
From 2010 to 2016, about 13 percent of state legislative incumbents have been defeated by primary challengers. Another 8 percent of the remaining incumbents were defeated in general elections.
In 2018, 469 incumbents were defeated in primary elections and the general elections on November 6, 2018.
- 119 Democratic incumbents were defeated.
- 330 Republican incumbents were defeated.
- 20 Minor party/independent incumbents were defeated
There were 322 incumbents defeated in the general elections.
- 49 Democratic incumbents were defeated.
- 253 Republican incumbents were defeated.
- 20 Minor party/independent incumbents were defeated
There were 147 state legislative incumbents defeated in primaries.
- Seventy Democratic incumbents were defeated.
- Seventy-seven Republican incumbents were defeated.
2016 state legislative results
Ballotpedia examined the competitiveness of every 2016 state legislative race in the country. Click here for more information »
Elections by state
Alabama
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Alabama. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Alabama State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 8 | 8 | |
Republican Party | 26 | 27 | |
Independent | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 35 | 35 |
Alabama House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 32 | 28 | |
Republican Party | 72 | 77 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 105 | 105 |
Alaska
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Alaska. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Alaska State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 6 | 7 | |
Republican Party | 14 | 13 | |
Total | 20 | 20 |
Alaska House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 17 | 16 | |
Republican Party | 20 | 23 | |
Independent | 3 | 1 | |
Total | 40 | 40 |
Arizona
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Arizona. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Arizona State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 13 | 13 | |
Republican Party | 17 | 17 | |
Total | 30 | 30 |
Arizona House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 25 | 29 | |
Republican Party | 35 | 31 | |
Total | 60 | 60 |
Arkansas
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Arkansas. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Arkansas State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 9 | 9 | |
Republican Party | 25 | 26 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 35 | 35 |
Arkansas House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 24 | 24 | |
Republican Party | 75 | 76 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
California
Ballotpedia has an article on California's primary election. Click here for information on the state's top-two primary.
California State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 26 | 29 | |
Republican Party | 14 | 11 | |
Total | 40 | 40 |
California State Assembly | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 55 | 60 | |
Republican Party | 25 | 20 | |
Total | 80 | 80 |
Colorado
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Colorado. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Colorado State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 16 | 19 | |
Republican Party | 18 | 16 | |
Independent | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 35 | 35 |
Colorado House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 36 | 41 | |
Republican Party | 29 | 24 | |
Total | 65 | 65 |
Connecticut
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Connecticut. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Connecticut State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 18 | 23 | |
Republican Party | 18 | 13 | |
Total | 36 | 36 |
Connecticut House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 80 | 92 | |
Republican Party | 71 | 59 | |
Total | 151 | 151 |
Delaware
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Delaware. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Delaware State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 11 | 12 | |
Republican Party | 10 | 9 | |
Total | 21 | 21 |
Delaware House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 25 | 26 | |
Republican Party | 16 | 15 | |
Total | 41 | 41 |
Florida
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Florida. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Florida State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 16 | 17 | |
Republican Party | 22 | 23 | |
Vacancy | 2 | 0 | |
Total | 40 | 40 |
Florida House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 41 | 47 | |
Republican Party | 75 | 73 | |
Vacancy | 4 | 0 | |
Total | 120 | 120 |
Georgia
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Georgia. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Georgia State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 19 | 21 | |
Republican Party | 37 | 35 | |
Total | 56 | 56 |
Georgia House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 64 | 75 | |
Republican Party | 114 | 105 | |
Vacancy | 2 | 0 | |
Total | 180 | 180 |
Hawaii
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Hawaii. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Hawaii State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 25 | 24 | |
Republican Party | 0 | 1 | |
Total | 25 | 25 |
Hawaii House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 46 | 46 | |
Republican Party | 5 | 5 | |
Total | 51 | 51 |
Idaho
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Idaho. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Idaho State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 6 | 7 | |
Republican Party | 29 | 28 | |
Total | 35 | 35 |
Idaho House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 11 | 14 | |
Republican Party | 59 | 56 | |
Total | 70 | 70 |
Illinois
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Illinois. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Illinois State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 37 | 40 | |
Republican Party | 22 | 19 | |
Total | 59 | 59 |
Illinois House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 67 | 74 | |
Republican Party | 51 | 44 | |
Total | 118 | 118 |
Indiana
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Indiana. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Indiana State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 9 | 10 | |
Republican Party | 41 | 40 | |
Total | 50 | 50 |
Indiana House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 30 | 33 | |
Republican Party | 70 | 67 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
Iowa
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Iowa. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Iowa State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 20 | 18 | |
Republican Party | 29 | 32 | |
Independent | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 50 | 50 |
Iowa House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 41 | 46 | |
Republican Party | 58 | 54 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
Kansas
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Kansas. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary. Kansas did not hold any state senate elections in 2018.
Kansas House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 40 | 40 | |
Republican Party | 85 | 85 | |
Total | 125 | 125 |
Kentucky
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Kentucky. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Kentucky State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 11 | 10 | |
Republican Party | 27 | 28 | |
Total | 38 | 38 |
Kentucky House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 37 | 39 | |
Republican Party | 62 | 61 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
Louisiana
Louisiana did not hold any state legislative elections in 2018.
Maine
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Maine. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Maine State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 17 | 21 | |
Republican Party | 18 | 14 | |
Total | 35 | 35 |
Maine House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 73 | 89 | |
Republican Party | 70 | 57 | |
Independent | 7 | 5 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 151 | 151 |
Maryland
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Maryland. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Maryland State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 33 | 32 | |
Republican Party | 14 | 15 | |
Total | 47 | 47 |
Maryland House of Delegates | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 91 | 99 | |
Republican Party | 50 | 42 | |
Total | 141 | 141 |
Massachusetts
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Massachusetts. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Massachusetts State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 31 | 34 | |
Republican Party | 7 | 6 | |
Vacancy | 2 | 0 | |
Total | 40 | 40 |
Massachusetts House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 117 | 127 | |
Republican Party | 34 | 32 | |
Independent | 2 | 1 | |
Vacancy | 7 | 0 | |
Total | 160 | 160 |
Michigan
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Michigan. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Michigan State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 10 | 16 | |
Republican Party | 27 | 22 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 38 | 38 |
Michigan House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 46 | 52 | |
Republican Party | 63 | 58 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 110 | 110 |
Minnesota
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Minnesota. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary. Minnesota did not hold any regularly-scheduled state senate elections in 2018. A special election took place in state senate District 13.
- Minnesota House of Representatives elections, 2018
- Minnesota state legislative special elections, 2018
Minnesota House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 56 | 75 | |
Republican Party | 77 | 59 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 134 | 134 |
Mississippi
Mississippi did not hold any state legislative elections in 2018.
Missouri
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Missouri. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Missouri State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 10 | 10 | |
Republican Party | 23 | 24 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 34 | 34 |
Missouri House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 45 | 47 | |
Republican Party | 109 | 116 | |
Vacancy | 9 | 0 | |
Total | 163 | 163 |
Montana
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Montana. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Montana State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 18 | 20 | |
Republican Party | 32 | 30 | |
Total | 50 | 50 |
Montana House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 41 | 42 | |
Republican Party | 59 | 58 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
Nebraska
Ballotpedia has an article on the primary election in Nebraska. Click here for information on the state's primary.
Nebraska State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 16 | 18 | |
Republican Party | 30 | 29 | |
Libertarian Party | 1 | 1 | |
Independent | 1 | 1 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 49 | 49 |
Nevada
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Nevada. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Nevada State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 10 | 13 | |
Republican Party | 8 | 8 | |
Independent | 1 | 0 | |
Vacancy | 2 | 0 | |
Total | 21 | 21 |
Nevada State Assembly | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 27 | 29 | |
Republican Party | 14 | 13 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 42 | 42 |
New Hampshire
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in New Hampshire. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
New Hampshire State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 10 | 14 | |
Republican Party | 14 | 10 | |
Total | 24 | 24 |
New Hampshire House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 167 | 233 | |
Republican Party | 212 | 167 | |
Independent | 2 | 0 | |
Vacancy | 19 | 0 | |
Total | 400 | 400 |
New Jersey
New Jersey did not hold any state legislative elections in 2018.
New Mexico
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in New Mexico. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
New Mexico did not hold any state senate elections in 2018.
New Mexico House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 38 | 46 | |
Republican Party | 31 | 24 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 70 | 70 |
New York
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in New York. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
New York State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 32 | 40 | |
Republican Party | 31 | 23 | |
Total | 63 | 63 |
New York State Assembly | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 104 | 106 | |
Republican Party | 41 | 43 | |
Independent | 1 | 1 | |
Vacancy | 4 | 0 | |
Total | 150 | 150 |
North Carolina
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in North Carolina. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
North Carolina State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 15 | 21 | |
Republican Party | 35 | 29 | |
Total | 50 | 50 |
North Carolina House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 45 | 55 | |
Republican Party | 75 | 65 | |
Total | 120 | 120 |
North Dakota
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in North Dakota. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
North Dakota State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 9 | 10 | |
Republican Party | 38 | 37 | |
Total | 47 | 47 |
North Dakota House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 13 | 15 | |
Republican Party | 80 | 79 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 94 | 94 |
Ohio
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Ohio. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Ohio State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 9 | 9 | |
Republican Party | 23 | 24 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 33 | 33 |
Ohio House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 32 | 38 | |
Republican Party | 66 | 61 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 99 | 99 |
Oklahoma
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Oklahoma. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Oklahoma State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 8 | 9 | |
Republican Party | 38 | 39 | |
Vacancy | 2 | 0 | |
Total | 48 | 48 |
Oklahoma House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 27 | 25 | |
Republican Party | 72 | 76 | |
Vacancy | 2 | 0 | |
Total | 101 | 101 |
Oregon
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Oregon. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Oregon State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 17 | 18 | |
Republican Party | 13 | 12 | |
Total | 30 | 30 |
Oregon House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 35 | 38 | |
Republican Party | 25 | 22 | |
Total | 60 | 60 |
Pennsylvania
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Pennsylvania. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Pennsylvania State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 16 | 21 | |
Republican Party | 33 | 29 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 50 | 50 |
Pennsylvania House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 79 | 93 | |
Republican Party | 120 | 110 | |
Vacancy | 4 | 0 | |
Total | 203 | 203 |
Rhode Island
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Rhode Island. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Rhode Island State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 33 | 33 | |
Republican Party | 4 | 5 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 38 | 38 |
Rhode Island House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 64 | 66 | |
Republican Party | 11 | 9 | |
Total | 75 | 75 |
South Carolina
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in South Carolina. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary. South Carolina did not hold any state senate elections in 2018.
South Carolina House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 44 | 44 | |
Republican Party | 80 | 80 | |
Total | 124 | 124 |
South Dakota
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in South Dakota. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
South Dakota State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 6 | 5 | |
Republican Party | 29 | 30 | |
Total | 35 | 35 |
South Dakota House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 10 | 11 | |
Republican Party | 59 | 59 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 70 | 70 |
Tennessee
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Tennessee. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Tennessee State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 4 | 5 | |
Republican Party | 26 | 28 | |
Vacancy | 3 | 0 | |
Total | 33 | 33 |
Tennessee House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 25 | 26 | |
Republican Party | 69 | 73 | |
Vacancy | 5 | 0 | |
Total | 99 | 99 |
Texas
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Texas. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Texas State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 10 | 12 | |
Republican Party | 21 | 19 | |
Total | 31 | 31 |
Texas House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 55 | 67 | |
Republican Party | 93 | 83 | |
Vacancy | 2 | 0 | |
Total | 150 | 150 |
Utah
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Utah. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Utah State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 5 | 6 | |
Republican Party | 24 | 23 | |
Total | 29 | 29 |
Utah House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 13 | 17 | |
Republican Party | 61 | 58 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 75 | 75 |
Vermont
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Vermont. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Vermont State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 21 | 22 | |
Republican Party | 7 | 6 | |
Independent | 2 | 2 | |
Total | 30 | 30 |
Vermont House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 80 | 95 | |
Republican Party | 53 | 43 | |
Independent | 14 | 12 | |
Vacancy | 3 | 0 | |
Total | 150 | 150 |
Virginia
Virginia did not hold any state legislative elections in 2018.
Washington
Ballotpedia has an article on Washington's primary election. Click here for information on the state's top-two primary.
Washington State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 26 | 29 | |
Republican Party | 23 | 20 | |
Total | 49 | 49 |
Washington House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 50 | 57 | |
Republican Party | 48 | 41 | |
Total | 98 | 98 |
West Virginia
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in West Virginia. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
West Virginia State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 12 | 14 | |
Republican Party | 22 | 20 | |
Total | 34 | 34 |
West Virginia House of Delegates | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 35 | 41 | |
Republican Party | 63 | 59 | |
Independent | 1 | 0 | |
Vacancy | 1 | 0 | |
Total | 100 | 100 |
Wisconsin
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Wisconsin. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Wisconsin State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 15 | 14 | |
Republican Party | 18 | 19 | |
Total | 33 | 33 |
Wisconsin State Assembly | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 35 | 36 | |
Republican Party | 64 | 63 | |
Total | 99 | 99 |
Wyoming
Ballotpedia has articles on the Democratic and Republican primaries in Wyoming. Click here for information on the Democratic primary, and click here for information on the Republican primary.
Wyoming State Senate | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 3 | 3 | |
Republican Party | 27 | 27 | |
Total | 30 | 30 |
Wyoming House of Representatives | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of November 6, 2018 | After November 7, 2018 | |
Democratic Party | 9 | 9 | |
Republican Party | 51 | 50 | |
Independent | 0 | 1 | |
Total | 60 | 60 |
Election dates
The following table details 2018 state legislative filing deadlines and primary dates in each state. The signature-filing deadline was the date by which candidates had to file nominating signatures with election officials in order to have their name placed on the ballot.
2018 Election Dates | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
State | Filing deadline | Primary election | ||||
Alabama | February 9 | June 5 | ||||
Alaska | June 1 | August 21 | ||||
Arizona | May 30 | August 28 | ||||
Arkansas | March 1 | May 22 | ||||
California | March 9 | June 5 | ||||
Colorado | March 20 | June 26 | ||||
Connecticut | June 12 | August 14 | ||||
Delaware | July 10 | September 6 | ||||
Florida | June 22 | August 28 | ||||
Georgia | March 9 | May 22 | ||||
Hawaii | June 5 | August 11 | ||||
Idaho | March 9 | May 15 | ||||
Illinois | December 4 (2017) | March 20 | ||||
Indiana | February 9 | May 8 | ||||
Iowa | March 16 | June 5 | ||||
Kansas | June 1 | August 7 | ||||
Kentucky | January 30 | May 22 | ||||
Maine | March 15 | June 12 | ||||
Maryland | February 27 | June 26 | ||||
Massachusetts | June 5 | September 4 | ||||
Michigan | April 24 | August 7 | ||||
Minnesota | June 5 | August 14 | ||||
Missouri | March 27 | August 7 | ||||
Montana | March 12 | June 5 | ||||
Nebraska | March 1 | May 15 | ||||
Nevada | March 16 | June 12 | ||||
New Hampshire | June 15 | September 11 | ||||
New Mexico | March 13 | June 5 | ||||
New York | July 12 | September 13 | ||||
North Carolina | February 28 | May 8 | ||||
North Dakota | April 9 | June 12 | ||||
Ohio | February 7 | May 8 | ||||
Oklahoma | April 13 | June 26 | ||||
Oregon | March 6 | May 15 | ||||
Pennsylvania | March 6 | May 15 | ||||
Rhode Island | June 27 | September 12 | ||||
South Carolina | March 30 | June 12 | ||||
South Dakota | March 27 | June 5 | ||||
Tennessee | April 5 | August 2 | ||||
Texas | December 11 (2017) | March 6 | ||||
Utah | March 15 | June 26 | ||||
Vermont | May 31 | August 14 | ||||
Washington | May 18 | August 7 | ||||
West Virginia | January 27 | May 8 | ||||
Wisconsin | June 1 | August 14 | ||||
Wyoming | June 1 | August 21 |
Impact of term limits
Of the 87 state legislative chambers that held elections in 2018, 24 of them—12 senate chambers and 12 house chambers—included incumbents who were unable to run for re-election due to term limits.[11] In the 24 chambers affected by term limits in 2018, 1,463 seats were up for election.[12] The Nevada Senate, Arkansas House, and Arkansas Senate are impacted by term limits, but no incumbents were term-limited in 2018. There are 99 chambers throughout the country.
In 29 legislative chambers across 15 states, state legislators are subject to term limits. In the United States, there are 1,972 state senate seats and 5,411 state house seats. Of the 1,972 senate seats, 562 seats (29 percent) are subject to term limits. Of the 5,411 house seats, 1,368 seats (25 percent) are subject to term limits.
The map below displays the 15 states that use term limits for state legislators. All 15 states held elections in 2018 except Louisiana. Louisiana holds elections every four years in odd-numbered years. Click on a state below to see the total number of termed-out state legislators in 2018 as well as a breakdown of the totals for each legislative chamber.
State legislative special elections
Breakdown of 2018 special elections
In 2018, special elections for state legislative positions were held for the following reasons:
- 58 due to appointment, election, or the seeking of election to another position
- 16 due to a retirement
- 10 due to a resignation related to criminal charges
- 7 due to a resignation related to allegations of sexual misconduct
- 5 due to the death of the incumbent
- 2 due to a resignation to take a private sector job
- 1 due to an election being rerun
Impact of special elections on partisan composition
The partisan breakdown for the special elections was as follows:
- 42 Democratic seats
- 57 Republican seats
The table below details how many seats changed parties as the result of a special election in 2018. The number on the left reflects how many vacant seats were originally held by each party, while the number on the right shows how many vacant seats each party won in the special elections. In elections between 2011 and 2016, either the Democratic Party or Republican Party saw an average net gain of three seats across the country. In 2017, Democrats had a net gain of 11 seats.
Note: This table reflects information for elections that were held and not the total number of vacant seats.
Partisan Change from Special Elections (2018) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of Special Election | After Special Election | |
Democratic Party | 42 | 50 | |
Republican Party | 57 | 49 | |
Independent | 0 | 0 | |
Total | 99 | 99 |
Democrats gained 11 seats in 2017 special elections and eight seats in 2018 special elections. The table below details the results of special elections held in 2017 and 2018 cumulatively.
Partisan Change from Special Elections (2017-2018) | |||
---|---|---|---|
Party | As of Special Election | After Special Election | |
Democratic Party | 87 | 106 | |
Republican Party | 110 | 91 | |
Independent | 0 | 0 | |
Total | 197 | 197 |
Flipped seats
In 2018, 16 seats flipped as a result of state legislative special elections. Twelve seats flipped from Republican control to Democratic control. Four seats flipped from Democratic control to Republican control.
In New York, a Democratic candidate running on the Republican ticket won election to Assembly District 142 on April 24. The previous incumbent in that district was a Democrat. Due to the winning candidate's party affiliation, Assembly District 142 was not added to the list of flipped seats in 2018.
Seats flipped from R to D
- Wisconsin State Senate District 10 (January 16)
- Missouri House of Representatives District 97 (February 6)
- Florida House of Representatives District 72 (February 13)
- Kentucky House of Representatives District 49 (February 20)
- New Hampshire House of Representatives District Belknap 3 (February 27)
- Connecticut House of Representatives District 120 (February 27)
- New York State Assembly District 10 (April 24)
- Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 178 (May 15)
- Missouri State Senate District 17 (June 5)
- Wisconsin State Senate District 1 (June 12)
- South Carolina State Senate District 20 (November 6)
- Texas House of Representatives District 52 (November 6)
Seats flipped from D to R
- Pennsylvania House of Representatives District 48 (May 15)
- Texas State Senate District 19 (September 18)
- Louisiana House of Representatives District 10 (November 6)[13]
- Louisiana House of Representatives District 33 (November 6)
State legislative leaders
The table below provides national statistics on whether state legislative leaders, such as house speakers and senate presidents, filed to run for re-election to their office or filed to run for a different office, such as governor.
Not all state legislative leaders were up for re-election, and some whose terms ended in 2018 were ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits in their states.
State legislative leaders | |||
---|---|---|---|
Office | Filed to run for re-election? |
Filed to run for a different office? |
Total |
House Speakers | 33 | 2 | 35 |
Senate Presidents | 14 | 6 | 20 |
House Majority Leaders | 36 | 3 | 39 |
House Minority Leaders | 32 | 6 | 38 |
Senate Majority Leaders | 22 | 3 | 25 |
Senate Minority Leaders | 24 | 4 | 28 |
Total | 161 | 24 | 185 |
Political context
The 2018 elections occurred in the aftermath of significant Republican gains in state legislative elections from 2010 to 2016. During those years, Republicans increased their control of state legislative chambers, total state legislative seats, and state government trifectas. Together, these gains gave them an advantage over Democrats heading into the 2018 elections.
Changes in chamber partisan control, 2010 to 2017
Prior to the 2010 elections, Democrats controlled 61 of the country's 99 state legislative chambers, Republicans controlled 37, and one chamber was split between the parties. In the six years that followed, Republicans made significant gains and took control of many of the chambers that were previously held by Democrats. Following the 2016 elections, Republicans controlled 68 chambers and Democrats controlled 31. After the November 2017 elections, Republicans controlled 67 chambers and Democrats controlled 32.
From 2010 to 2017, there were 54 instances where a state legislative chamber changed partisan control. Of these 54 changes, 40 involved a chamber changing from Democratic to Republican control and 11 involved a chamber changing from Republican to Democratic control. The other three involved chambers that were split between the two parties (Oregon House in 2010 and 2012; Montana House in 2010).
Most of the changes came during major elections but some also came through special elections (Louisiana House in 2010; Washington Senate in 2017) and party switching (Louisiana House in 2010; Mississippi Senate in 2011). In some cases, the party that gained control did not have a numerical majority but instead controlled the chamber through a bipartisan coalition (i.e., Alaska House in 2016). This table does not account for changes in party control or ties in a chamber that lasted for less than one year and were not the result of a regularly scheduled election. An example of this is the brief period of Democratic control in the Virginia State Senate in 2014.[14]
From 2010 to 2017, 39 chambers switched control: 28 switched control once, seven switched control twice, and four switched control three times. Eleven of the 15 battleground chambers in 2018 switched control at least once from 2010 to 2017. For the 50 instances where a chamber switched control in a regularly scheduled election, the average majority controlled 55.7 percent of its chamber's seat heading into the election.
For this chart, a red box indicates that the chamber flipped from Democratic to Republican control, and a blue box indicates that the chamber flipped from Republican to Democratic control.
Chamber changes in partisan control: 2010-2017 | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party changes in 2010 | Party changes in 2011 | Party changes in 2012 | Party changes in 2014 | Party changes in 2016 | Party changes in 2017 | |||
Alabama Senate | Louisiana Senate[15][16] | Alaska Senate | Colorado Senate | Alaska House | Washington Senate | |||
Alabama House | Mississippi Senate[17][18] | Arkansas Senate | Maine Senate | Iowa Senate | ||||
Colorado House | Mississippi House | Arkansas House | Minnesota House | Kentucky House | ||||
Indiana House | Virginia Senate[19] | Colorado House | Nevada Senate | Minnesota Senate | ||||
Iowa House | Maine Senate | Nevada House | Nevada Senate | |||||
Louisiana House[20][21] | Maine House | New Hampshire House | Nevada House | |||||
Maine Senate | Minnesota Senate | New Mexico House | New Mexico House | |||||
Maine House | Minnesota House | West Virginia Senate | ||||||
Michigan House | New Hampshire House | West Virginia House | ||||||
Minnesota Senate | Oregon House[22] | |||||||
Minnesota House | Washington Senate | |||||||
Montana House[23] | ||||||||
New Hampshire Senate | ||||||||
New Hampshire House | ||||||||
New York Senate | ||||||||
North Carolina Senate | ||||||||
North Carolina House | ||||||||
Ohio House | ||||||||
Oregon House[24] | ||||||||
Pennsylvania House | ||||||||
Wisconsin Senate | ||||||||
Wisconsin House | ||||||||
Total changes: 22 | Total changes: 4 | Total changes: 11 | Total changes: 9 | Total changes: 7 | Total changes: 1 |
State legislative seats from 2010 to 2016
Throughout Barack Obama's (D) tenure as president, from 2009 to 2017, Democrats experienced losses in state legislative elections, totaling 968 seats. As of January 2009, Democrats controlled 4,082 of the country's 7,383 legislative seats (55.3 percent). By January 2017, they controlled 3,114 seats (42.2 percent). During the same time, Republicans increased their seats from 3,223 (43.7 percent) to 4,171 (56.5 percent). In 82 of the country's 99 state legislative chambers, Republicans held more seats in January 2017 than they did in January 2009.[25]
It is normal for a party to lose ground in state legislatures when their party controls the presidency for two terms. Between the time of Franklin Roosevelt (D) and George W. Bush (R), the political party of the president lost, on average, 450 state legislative seats while holding the White House. The losses that the Democratic Party sustained under Obama, however, were exceptional, rivaled only by the terms of Richard Nixon (R) and Dwight Eisenhower (R), when Republicans lost 800 and 843 seats, respectively.
Trifectas from 2010 to 2017
- See also: State government trifectas
A state government trifecta occurs when one political party controls the primary levers of power in a state: the governor's office, the state Senate, and the state House. Since 2010, the Republican Party has increased its number of trifectas and the Democratic Party has seen a decline in its trifectas. Prior to the 2010 elections, Democrats had 17 trifectas, Republicans had 10, and 23 states were under divided government. After the 2016 elections, Republicans had 25 trifectas, Democrats had six, and 19 states were under divided government. In August 2017, Republicans picked up another trifecta when West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice changed his partisan affiliation from Democratic to Republican. In the November 2017 elections, Democrats won a special election in the Washington State Senate and gained control of the chamber. The Democratic Party also took the governorship of New Jersey, although incoming governor Phil Murphy (D) was not sworn in until January 2018. This made Washington and New Jersey Democratic trifectas and brought the total number of trifectas to 26 for Republicans and eight for Democrats, with 16 states under divided government.
This chart shows the number of trifectas each party held heading into elections from 2010 to 2018.
Trifectas by year: 2010-2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Election | Democratic trifectas | Republican trifectas | States under divided government |
Pre-2010 elections | 17 | 10 | 23 |
Pre-2012 elections | 11 | 22 | 17 |
Pre-2014 elections | 12 | 24 | 14 |
Pre-2016 elections | 7 | 23 | 20 |
Pre-2018 elections[26] | 8 | 26 | 16 |
Click on the map below to see the trifecta status of different states following elections from 2010 to 2016.
Current state government trifectas
State government trifectas, post-2022 elections
State government trifectas, pre-2022 elections
State government trifectas, post-2020 elections
State government trifectas, pre-2020 elections
State government trifectas, post-2018 elections
State government trifectas, pre-2018 elections
State government trifectas, post-2016 elections
State government trifectas, pre-2016 elections
State government trifectas, pre-2014
State government trifectas, pre-2012
State government trifectas, pre-2010
Wave election analysis
- See also: Wave elections (1918-2016)
The term wave election is frequently used to describe an election cycle in which one party makes significant electoral gains. How many seats would Republicans have had to lose for the 2018 midterm election to be considered a wave election?
Ballotpedia examined the results of the 50 election cycles that occurred between 1918 and 2016—spanning from President Woodrow Wilson's (D) second midterm in 1918 to Donald Trump's (R) first presidential election in 2016. We define wave elections as the 20 percent of elections in that period resulting in the greatest seat swings against the president's party.
Applying this definition to state legislative elections, we found that Republicans needed to lose 494 seats for 2018 to qualify as a wave election.
The chart below shows the number of seats the president's party lost in the 10 state legislative waves from 1918 to 2016. Click here to read the full report.
State legislative wave elections | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Year | President | Party | Election type | State legislative seats change | Elections analyzed[27] | |
1932 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -1,022 | 7,365 | |
1922 | Harding | R | First midterm | -907 | 6,907 | |
1966 | Johnson | D | First midterm[28] | -782 | 7,561 | |
1938 | Roosevelt | D | Second midterm | -769 | 7,179 | |
1958 | Eisenhower | R | Second midterm | -702 | 7,627 | |
2010 | Obama | D | First midterm | -702 | 7,306 | |
1974 | Ford | R | Second midterm[29] | -695 | 7,481 | |
1920 | Wilson | D | Presidential | -654 | 6,835 | |
1930 | Hoover | R | Presidential | -640 | 7,361 | |
1954 | Eisenhower | R | First midterm | -494 | 7,513 |
Footnotes
- ↑ This figure excludes the Nebraska State Senate, which held nonpartisan elections.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 Democrats won a three-fifths supermajority in Oregon, but not a two-thirds majority, which is the margin required to override gubernatorial vetoes. A three-fifths majority is able to raise taxes.
- ↑ National Council of State Legislatures, "ELECTION DATES FOR LEGISLATORS AND GOVERNORS WHO WILL DO REDISTRICTING," May 25, 2018
- ↑ Although the Nebraska State Senate elects its members in nonpartisan elections, members of the chamber generally function along party lines when it comes to voting and caucusing. Please see Nebraska State Senate partisan affiliation for more information.
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Third party incumbents and vacancies.
- ↑ Excludes the 693,972 inhabitants of Washington, D.C.
- ↑ Excludes the 693,972 inhabitants of Washington, D.C.
- ↑ Two chambers — the Alaska House of Representatives and the New York State Senate — were controlled by minority coalitions, giving effective control of the chamber to the party with a numerical minority.
- ↑ Detroit News, "Democrats in Michigan seek to flip state House in 2018," July 8, 2018
- ↑ This figure does not include the Nebraska State Senate, which held nonpartisan elections.
- ↑ The Nevada Senate, Arkansas House, and Arkansas Senate were up for election in 2018 and have term limits, but no incumbents were term-limited in 2018.
- ↑ The Nevada Senate, Arkansas House, and Arkansas Senate are impacted by term limits, but no incumbents were term-limited in 2018. In the three chambers, a total of 129 seats were up for election in 2018. No legislators were unable to run in 2018 in those three chamber because of term limits.
- ↑ The general election was cancelled after Wayne McMahen (R) was the only candidate to file for election.
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Virginia Republicans snatched control of the state Senate, ended budget-Medicaid impasse," June 9, 2014
- ↑ The chamber first changed from Democratic to Republican control in a February 2011 special election. Republicans increased their majority to 24-15 in the 2011 elections.
- ↑ Fox News, "GOP Candidate Wins Lousiana [sic] Senate Special Election, Shifting Majority," February 20, 2011
- ↑ The chamber changed partisan control prior to the 2011 elections due to Democrats switching to the Republican Party and special election wins by Republicans. Republicans increased their majority in the 2011 elections to 31-21.
- ↑ The Washington Post, "Southern Democrats in dire straits; 2011 looms large," January 11, 2011
- ↑ In the 2011 elections, the chamber changed from a 22-18 Democratic advantage to a 20-20 tie. Republicans effectively controlled the chamber because Lieutenant Gov. Bill Bolling (R) could cast tie-breaking votes.
- ↑ This chamber did not hold elections in 2010. It switched partisan control in December 2010 when Democrat Noble Ellington changed his party affiliation to Republican. In the regularly-scheduled 2011 elections, Republicans increased their majority to 58-45.
- ↑ Nola.com, "Louisiana Republicans take first House majority since Reconstruction with latest party switch," December 17, 2010
- ↑ In this election, the Oregon House changed from a 30-30 tie to a 34-26 Democratic advantage.
- ↑ This chamber went from a 50-50 tie to a 68-32 Republican advantage in the 2010 elections.
- ↑ This chamber went from a 36-24 Democratic advantage to a 30-30 tie in the 2010 elections.
- ↑ Data compiled by Ballotpedia staff
- ↑ Last updated February 9, 2018.
- ↑ The number of state legislative seats available for analysis varied, with as many as 7,795 and as few as 6,835.
- ↑ Lyndon Johnson's (D) first term began in November 1963 after the death of President John F. Kennedy (D), who was first elected in 1960. Before Johnson had his first midterm in 1966, he was re-elected president in 1964.
- ↑ Gerald Ford's (R) first term began in August 1974 following the resignation of President Richard Nixon (R), who was first elected in 1968 and was re-elected in 1972. Because Ford only served for two full months before facing the electorate, this election is classified as Nixon's second midterm.
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